Boise State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1  Allie Ostrander FR 18:50
21  Brenna Peloquin FR 19:33
43  Minttu Hukka SO 19:45
162  Anna Holdiman JR 20:13
302  Charlotte Corless SO 20:35
444  Alexis Fuller FR 20:50
642  Gracie Tostenson SO 21:07
726  Katy Wood FR 21:14
1,566  Ali Deitsch FR 22:14
National Rank #9 of 339
West Region Rank #2 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 21.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 64.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 98.9%


Regional Champion 13.5%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Allie Ostrander Brenna Peloquin Minttu Hukka Anna Holdiman Charlotte Corless Alexis Fuller Gracie Tostenson Katy Wood Ali Deitsch
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 184 19:14 19:47 19:36 19:59 20:11 21:09 21:42 20:51
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 413 18:50 19:46 19:57 20:19 21:01 20:38 21:38
Mountain West Championships 10/30 474 18:32 19:28 19:56 20:32 21:07 21:49 22:16
West Region Championships 11/13 361 19:14 19:40 19:44 20:22 20:23 20:44 20:55
NCAA Championship 11/21 413 18:51 19:20 19:47 20:31 20:55 20:49 20:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 9.2 310 0.1 2.2 4.5 6.1 8.3 8.7 9.1 9.9 7.6 8.2 7.4 6.3 4.9 4.4 3.5 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 2.7 96 13.5 26.8 33.0 25.2 1.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allie Ostrander 100% 1.1 48.5 24.1 10.2 6.0 3.2 2.4 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brenna Peloquin 99.9% 25.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.2 1.8 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.8 2.1 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.0 2.0
Minttu Hukka 99.9% 50.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.0
Anna Holdiman 99.9% 128.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Charlotte Corless 99.9% 187.4
Alexis Fuller 99.9% 216.6
Gracie Tostenson 99.9% 238.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allie Ostrander 1.0 96.1 3.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brenna Peloquin 3.5 0.1 23.2 19.2 13.7 9.1 7.6 6.0 4.5 3.4 3.1 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Minttu Hukka 7.8 4.4 6.6 8.3 8.6 8.3 8.3 6.8 6.7 5.5 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.5 2.8 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.3 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.7
Anna Holdiman 27.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.2 2.8 2.8
Charlotte Corless 51.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6
Alexis Fuller 68.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Gracie Tostenson 91.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 13.5% 100.0% 13.5 13.5 1
2 26.8% 100.0% 26.8 26.8 2
3 33.0% 100.0% 24.2 7.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 33.0 3
4 25.2% 100.0% 10.4 7.1 3.8 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 25.2 4
5 1.3% 98.4% 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 5
6 0.1% 33.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6
7 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 99.9% 13.5 26.8 24.2 17.7 9.0 4.2 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 40.3 59.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Penn State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 99.5% 1.0 1.0
Washington 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 94.1% 2.0 1.9
Minnesota 93.0% 2.0 1.9
Vanderbilt 92.1% 1.0 0.9
BYU 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Weber State 40.5% 1.0 0.4
William and Mary 40.1% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina 39.3% 1.0 0.4
Columbia 26.3% 1.0 0.3
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Air Force 10.1% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 2.0 0.2
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
California 5.3% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 14.0
Minimum 7.0
Maximum 20.0